Covid Truth: Just How WRONG "experts" Were

Some folks who have been mad at me might want to read what I have to say here..

First,I still do wear a mask at indoor public places..and while I don't mind at all if you don't wear one, I Do get VERY annoyed at people who DON'T social distance when they're not wearing masks.  And I have even more disgust with IDIOTS who wear the mask, but wear it like the idiot below.

(The idiot I mentioned on air who says not wearing a mask threatens her, but doesn't cover her nose, as if you can't get Chinavirus from breathing in your nose)

WHEWH!  Now..6-8 weeks after so many listeners were mad at my for my stance on the virus, we have A LOT more info.  Dr.'s now know to AVOID using respirators, period. 

AND, that instead, what's killing people is our own "cytokines" that our body produces to FIGHT OFF the virus, which instead floods our lungs/system so much, it kills us.  NOW, Dr's are stopping the overproduction of those cytokines and NOT doing respirators.  Smart, eh?  It's because we've LEARNED MORE! 

ALSO: Dr's now use cocktails of drugs that fight off and save lives, and much more, thank God!

ALSO, we know that the virus is mostly transmitted via aerosol/droplets (spreading through the air), and NOT touching surfaces much at all (hence, masks good), and that outside only idiots wear masks (idiots also wear them when driving alone).

With all that, here's the facts:  (from Wall St.Journal 7/17)

The UW  [U of Washington] model forecast that 49,000 regular beds and 8,000 ICU beds would be needed at the peak.

New York peaked at 18,825 and 5,225 for ICUs in mid-April. Even in New York City, hospital utilization never exceeded 85% of capacity and 89% for ICUs. Government-run hospitals in low-income neighborhoods with the most cases were unprepared, but they were ill-managed before the pandemic.

Hospital utilization by Covid-19 patients in New York City has fallen 94% since the peak, which has allowed some non-essential treatments to resume. New York City has 29% of its hospital beds and 34% of its intensive care units now available. New cases have fallen by about 40%  and new hospitalizations by a third in the last two weeks, despite the recent protests.

A month ago, 43% of hospitalized patients with Covid were in the ICU. Now only a third are, suggesting that better and earlier treatment is easing disease severity.

In Texas, hospitalizations have also been climbing, but weekly fatalities are down 40% from a month ago. Covid-19 patients occupy fewer than 5% of all hospital beds, and more than a quarter are available.

Even in Houston—which has experienced the biggest increase in hospitalizations—Covid-19 patients occupy only 6% of hospital beds. More than 20% are unused.

Covid-19 patients take up a small share of ICU beds in most states that have reopened including California (16%), Texas (11%)
 

And here's why we were bamboozled: 

But as Stanford epidemiologist John Ioannidis explains in a new paper, most models have overshot in part by making faulty assumptions about virus reproduction rates and homogenous susceptibility. A Massachusetts General Hospital model predicted more than 23,000 deaths within a month of Georgia reopening but the state had only 896.

"In the presence of strong groupthink and bandwagon effects, modelers may consciously fit their predictions to what is the dominant thinking and expectations—or they may be forced to do so," Mr. Ioannidis writes. "Forecasts may be more likely to be published or disseminated, if they are more extreme."

GROUPTHINK.  Imagine that.

So, there's the truth.

HOWEVER--A friend of mine who does a talk show in Vegas just announced she has the virus.  You don't want it.  It's bad, she says publicly.  Hence, I wash my hands a lot, distance and wear a mask in public places indoors #HowBowDat